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Quantmatix US Sector Research Note - Significant Signal Cluster: Software Resilience & Strategic Rotation
Quantmatix Research - March 16, 2026North American EquitiesQuantmatix US Sector Research Note
Significant Signal Cluster: Software Resilience & Strategic Rotation
16 March 2026 | 11:30 AM GMT
Prepared by: Liam Boggan, Quantmatix CEO and Founder, Head of Research
Executive Summary: Index & Sector Dynamics
Quantmatix data for the March 13th close confirms a major divergence in Institutional Momentum. While the broad global market remains stagnant, the Software & Services sector is signaling a structural shift in capital allocation.
The US Software Sector (representing the 117 stocks of the XSW ETF) shows 50 stocks currently in an Advancing direction. Most significantly, we have identified a significant cluster of 23 positive signals within this group. This cluster represents a coordinated move by institutional capital into software infrastructure and cybersecurity as a defensive response to the ongoing Iran war. In stark contrast, the China Software sub-sector is exhibiting extreme weakness, with a Significant Negative Cluster of 5 sell signals.The Q Score, which is a proprietary measure of Velocity (Direction and Momentum), confirms that institutional conviction is centering on US-based digital defense while broad indices fail to find a floor.
style="margin: 0 0 25px 0; color: #DEDC04; font-size: 18px; font-weight: bold; text-transform: uppercase; letter-spacing: 0.5px;"> Market News Context: The Impact of Conflict Advancing 06 Mar '26 (Positive) ALPHABET INC-A (XNGS) 0.6 Declining 20 Feb '26 (Negative) AMAZON.COM INC (XNGS) -5.3 27 Feb '26 (Negative) META PLATFORMS-A (XNGS) -3.1 13 Feb '26 (Negative) NVIDIA CORP (XNGS) -2.4 TESLA INC (XNGS) -6.7 23 Jan '26 (Negative)Cyber Warfare The conflict has entered a digital phase. Recent state-sponsored attacks on Western infrastructure have transformed cybersecurity into a mandatory national security priority.Energy Supply Shock
Brent Crude has stabilized above $104.37 following the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz. This supply shock is forcing corporations to prioritize software that enables digital efficiency and operational resilience.Macro Headwinds With US GDP growth revised down to 0.7%, professional investors are moving away from physical cyclicals and into "asset-light" software models to protect margins. S&P 500 & ACWI Index Analysis iShares MSCI ACWI ETF: Q Score: 0.0 | Direction: Declining. This reflects a global vacuum in momentum as institutional conviction remains sidelined. SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY): Q Score: -2.4 | Direction: Declining. The benchmark reflects general market fatigue as investors struggle with the inflationary impact of the energy shock. Institutional Momentum: Primary trend analysis shows that while broad benchmarks are declining, velocity is specifically concentrating in infrastructure and security sub-sectors. style="margin: 0 0 10px 0; color: #DEDC04; font-size: 18px; font-weight: bold; text-transform: uppercase; letter-spacing: 0.5px;"> Magnificent Seven (MAGS) Contextual AnalysisInstitutional momentum across the MAGS complex is showing clear signs of exhaustion, with capital rotating into more specialized software defense plays.
Stock style="padding: 12px; text-align: center; font-weight: bold; color: #ffffff; border-bottom: 2px solid #404040;"> Q Score Direction Last ReversalAPPLE INC (XNGS) style="padding: 12px; border-bottom: 1px solid #333333; text-align: center; color: #d0d0d0;"> -0.4MICROSOFT CORP (XNGS) -9.0 Declining 15 Aug '25 (Negative) Note: A Pending Signal in Microsoft switched off last week and did not confirm.
style="margin: 0 0 30px 0; color: #DEDC04; font-size: 18px; font-weight: bold; text-transform: uppercase; letter-spacing: 0.5px;"> Portfolio Positioning – Actionable Frameworkstyle="padding: 15px 12px; text-align: left; font-weight: bold; color: #ffffff; border-bottom: 2px solid #404040;"> Action Suggestion Targeted Sectors Rationale style="padding: 15px 12px; border-bottom: 1px solid #333333; font-weight: bold; color: #ffffff;"> Bullish Inflection Surge style="padding: 15px 12px; border-bottom: 1px solid #333333; color: #d0d0d0;"> US Software (Cyber & Infra) Significant Cluster: 23 Positive Signals. 50 stocks are Advancing. Money is centering on Zscaler and Crowdstrike. Advancing Positive Enterprise Efficiency Strengthening Scores: Names like Oracle (-7.4) and Intuit (-7.9) are leading the rotation out of big tech laggards. style="padding: 15px 12px; border-bottom: 1px solid #333333; font-weight: bold; color: #bbbbbb;"> Neutral / Negative Bias Global Tech (Ex-US) Regional Risk: EU and Asian tech scores are weakening as energy costs impact domestic economies. style="padding: 15px 12px; border-bottom: 1px solid #333333; font-weight: bold; color: #d0d0d0;"> Beware / Exhaustion China Software Significant Negative Cluster: 5 negative signals in major names. Institutional capital is exiting on sanction fears. Most Negative Consumer Discretionary Stalled Velocity: High fuel prices and war anxiety are draining consumer spending power. Detailed Expansion: Key Actionable ClustersTheme: Cybersecurity & Infrastructure (The Positive Cluster)
The 100% participation of the "Advancing" subset in US Software marks this as the most significant cluster in the database. Signal Priority 3: Deep Positive Delta Reversals (Score -4 to -10)
High-conviction signals where institutional momentum is inflecting positively from a deep base.PAGERDUTY INC (XNYS): Score: -8.9 | Advancing | Last Reversal Date: 13 March '26 (Positive).
APPFOLIO INC - A (XNMS): Score: -8.6 | Advancing | Last Reversal Date: 13 March '26 (Positive). ZSCALER INC (XNGS): Score: -8.4 | Advancing | Last Reversal Date: 13 March '26 (Positive). C3.AI INC-A (XNYS): Score: -8.4 | Advancing | Last Reversal Date: 13 March '26 (Positive). APPLOVIN CO-CL A (XNGS): Score: -8.4 | Advancing | Last Reversal Date: 13 March '26 (Positive). DOMO INC- CL B (XNMS): Score: -8.1 | Advancing | Last Reversal Date: 13 March '26 (Positive). INTUIT INC (XNGS): Score: -7.9 | Advancing | Last Reversal Date: 13 March '26 (Positive). ORACLE CORP (XNYS): Score: -7.4 | Advancing | Last Reversal Date: 13 March '26 (Positive). AUTODESK INC (XNGS): Score: -6.4 | Advancing | Last Reversal Date: 13 March '26 (Positive). CROWDSTRIKE HO-A (XNGS): Score: -4.0 | Advancing | Last Reversal Date: 13 March '26 (Positive). Theme: China Software "Risk" Exit (The Negative Cluster) Institutional capital is exiting Chinese software names as geopolitical risks escalate. SHANG BAOSIGHT-A: Score: 6.7 | Declining | Last Reversal Date: 13 March '26 (Negative). 360 SECURITY T-A: Score: 3.3 | Declining | Last Reversal Date: 13 March '26 (Negative). IFLYTEK CO LTD-A: Score: 1.7 | Declining | Last Reversal Date: 13 March '26 (Negative). GLODON CO LTD-A: Score: 1.3 | Declining | Last Reversal Date: 13 March '26 (Negative). YONYOU NETWORK-A: Score: 0.1 | Declining | Last Reversal Date: 13 March '26 (Negative). Highest Conviction Stocks: Analytical ContextPrioritized strictly by: 1. Top Quantmatix, 2. TEVO, 3. Deep Positive Delta Reversals.
SPYROSOFT SPÓLKA AKCYJNA [-5.7, Top Quantmatix Positive]
Score: -5.7 | Advancing | Last Signal Date: 13 March '26 (Positive). This structural signal marks a high-conviction floor for specialized software.
IREN LTD [-0.9, Top Quantmatix Positive] Score: -0.9 | Advancing | Last Signal Date: 13 March '26 (Positive). Structural signal indicating a major institutional shift toward power-efficient infrastructure. PAGERDUTY INC [-8.9, Deep Positive Delta Reversal] Score: -8.9 | Advancing | Last Reversal Date: 13 March '26 (Positive). Carries the strongest velocity reading in the US cluster. ZSCALER INC [-8.4, Deep Positive Delta Reversal] Score: -8.4 | Advancing | Last Reversal Date: 13 March '26 (Positive). A core cybersecurity play with high score magnitude and strengthening momentum. ORACLE CORP [-7.4, Deep Positive Delta Reversal] Score: -7.4 | Advancing | Last Reversal Date: 13 March '26 (Positive). Confirms a rotation into high-quality, cash-flow-positive enterprise infrastructure. CROWDSTRIKE HO-A [-4.0, Deep Positive Delta Reversal] Score: -4.0 | Advancing | Last Reversal Date: 13 March '26 (Positive). Essential cyber-defense asset currently seeing fresh institutional interest.Imperative The Significant Cluster of 23 positive signals in US Software, with 50 stocks in the sector now Advancing, provides a clear roadmap. Professional clients should rotate out of China Software and broad index laggards like Microsoft—whose failed reversal signal warns of further weakness. Capital should be concentrated in the Deep Positive Delta Reversal leaders, specifically Zscaler, PagerDuty, and Oracle. Disclaimer: These insights are generated using AI and are provided for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. The content may be incomplete or contain errors and should not be relied upon for investment decisions. Always consult a qualified financial adviser before making financial choices.
Source: Quantmatix – Exclusively US and Global Data [16 March 2026]
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US Sector Research Update
Quantmatix US Sector Research Note - March 5, 2026North American EquitiesUS Sector Research Update
Tactical Rotation: Geopolitical Shock & The Energy Surge
March 5, 2026
Prepared by: Liam Boggan, CEO and Founder, Head of Research
Executive Summary
Quantmatix data for the March 4th close identifies a definitive and violent shift in Institutional Momentum as global markets re-price risk in the face of the escalating Iran conflict. The S&P 500 (SPX) closed at 6,869.50, slipping below its Weekly Mean as systemic de-risking takes hold.
Institutional Momentum is actively re-sleeving risk, aggressively rotating away from early-cycle growth leaders—most notably Semiconductors and Major Banks—and reallocating into energy security, defense-adjacent infrastructure, and Utilities. Granular Q Scores confirm a massive capital flight from tech components vulnerable to supply chain disruptions, while triggering deep positive reversals in domestic energy assets and telecom infrastructure.
Market News Context
Geopolitical Energy Shock
The outbreak of direct conflict involving Iran has severely threatened the Strait of Hormuz, prompting an immediate repricing of global energy markets. WTI and Brent Crude have both triggered aggressive Advancing momentum as supply fears mount.
Supply Chain & CapEx Scrutiny
Tech giants' capital expenditure plans are suddenly overshadowed by severe supply chain vulnerabilities. Institutions are dumping hardware and semiconductor names exposed to trans-Pacific shipping risks and rotating into domestic software and services.
Flight to Defensive Yield
With the geopolitical risk premium surging, macro capital is seeking absolute safety, driving a massive 100% Advancing breadth in the Utilities sector as investors prioritize secure, domestic power generation.
S&P 500 (SPX) Index Chart Analysis
The SPX weekly structure indicates a critical testing phase as the index has broken slightly below its immediate trend mean, currently closing at 6,869.50, weighed down by the geopolitical shock.
Momentum & Velocity: The Q Score currently sits at -1.6 on the Weekly timeframe with a Declining status, confirming a near-term exhaustion of bullish acceleration amid the flight to safety.
Dynamic Trading Levels: The index is operating below the Weekly Mean of 6,881.42. Overhead supply is firmly established at the Weekly Resistance band of 7,129.37, with Monthly Resistance towering at 7,205.08.
Price Objectives: Downside structural targets identify Target 1 at 6,681.55 (44% hit rate) and Target 2 at 6,586.79 (38% hit rate). The protective Stop level is situated above recent highs at 7,170.34.
Magnificent Seven (MAGS) Contextual Analysis
The Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF (MAGS) closed at 62.23, operating beneath its Weekly Mean of 63.16. Its Weekly Q Score sits at a deeply Declining -5.0, signaling that Institutional Momentum is rapidly cooling as investors assess the fallout of energy spikes on consumer spending and tech margins.
Apple (AAPL): Advancing with a Positive Delta Reversal. Q Score sits at -1.3. Institutional accumulation is surprisingly stabilizing the asset as a mega-cap safe haven amidst the volatility.
Microsoft (MSFT): Advancing Direction with a Q Score of -8.6. Retaining deep structural momentum as enterprise software is insulated from immediate physical supply chain shocks.
Meta Platforms (META): Triggered a Positive Delta Reversal, with an Advancing Q Score of -1.4.
Alphabet (GOOGL): Declining direction, maintaining a positive but decelerating Q Score of 1.6.
Nvidia (NVDA): Shifting into a Declining status with a Q Score of -1.3 as infrastructure capital digests previous vertical expansions and fears over Asian supply chain disruptions mount.
Amazon (AMZN): Triggered a high-priority Negative Delta Reversal. Q Score is -3.9 (Declining), signaling a clear momentum stall as logistics and shipping costs threaten margins.
Tesla (TSLA): Weakening scores continue, showing a Declining direction with a Q Score of -5.9, highly vulnerable to macroeconomic slowdowns and supply route instability.
Portfolio Positioning
Action Sectors Bullish Inflection Surge Utilities, Oil & Gas Exploration Advancing Positive Telecom, Real Estate Positive / Overweight Consumer Staples Neutral / Positive Bias Software & Services Neutral / Negative Bias Health Care, Consumer Discretionary Beware / Exhaustion Semiconductors Fading Bull Momentum Banks, Regional Banks Negative / Underweight Capital Markets Most Negative Metals & Mining Key Actionable Sectors
Bullish Inflection Surge: The Energy & Utilities Rotation
Energy Commodities & Oil/Gas: The data confirms a violent upside reversal in energy markets. Both WTI Crude (7.0) and Brent Crude (7.1) are firmly Advancing. Capital is crowding into North American Oil & Gas exploration as an immediate hedge against Middle East supply disruptions, driving the sector to 90.9% Advancing breadth.
Utilities & Telecom: Representing the ultimate defensive posture, Utilities boast 100% Advancing breadth. This marks a classic risk-off rotation, capturing capital fleeing the high-beta exhaustion in cyclicals.
Neutral / Negative Bias: Signs of Deceleration
Semiconductors & Global Metals: The velocity drain is most severe here. Semiconductors have crashed to 89.2% Declining breadth, while Metals face a staggering 96.3% Declining metric. The threat to global shipping lanes and international manufacturing has caused a complete breakdown of Institutional Momentum in these spaces, requiring immediate risk reduction.
Banking Complex: Regional and Major Banks are showing profound weakness, reflecting institutional skepticism over systemic global risks and the potential for a sudden macroeconomic contraction, effectively shutting off the financial sector's velocity engine.
Highest Conviction Stocks
Prioritized by Delta Reversals
Conviction Overweights (The Surge)
HP Inc (HPQ) [-8.3, Positive Delta Reversal]
Exceptional Advancing velocity, signaling robust institutional accumulation in domestic-facing hardware.
Zscaler (ZS) [-8.7, Positive Delta Reversal]
Catching a massive bullish inflection, separating itself as a critical cybersecurity asset during geopolitical conflict.
Veeva Systems (VEEV) [-8.6, Positive Delta Reversal]
High-conviction Advancing status, proving to be a safe haven in the insulated software complex.
Apple Inc (AAPL) [-1.3, Positive Delta Reversal]
Deep structural momentum is turning positive, anchoring the tech sector against further downside.
Conviction Underweights (The Tactical Reduction)
Amazon (AMZN) [-3.9, Negative Delta Reversal]
High-profile momentum breakdown; the Declining direction warns of sustained institutional distribution as global logistics routes are threatened.
Macom Tech (MTSI) [9.1, Negative Delta Reversal]
Ground zero for Semiconductor exhaustion; severe risk of mean reversion amid Asian supply chain fears.
Schlumberger (SLB) [8.4, Negative Delta Reversal]
Flashing extreme structural decay, likely as institutions dump international energy service providers with outsized Middle East exposure in favor of purely domestic E&P names.
Caterpillar (CAT) [7.6, Negative Delta Reversal]
Industrial machinery momentum has stalled violently, confirming a global macro cyclical slowdown driven by the conflict.
Imperative
Execute a tactical capital rotation immediately: strip exposure from Semiconductors, internationally-exposed Industrials, and Banks where Q Scores indicate severe deceleration due to geopolitical contagion. Deploy capital aggressively into the Bullish Inflection Surge within domestic Energy, Utilities, and targeted Cybersecurity/Software names displaying Positive Delta Reversals. Utilize the S&P 500 Weekly Mean of 6,881.42 as your critical risk management pivot. If the index fails to reclaim this level, strictly adhere to the systemic Target 1 downside objective of 6,681.55 to protect capital during this macro shock.
Disclaimer: These insights are generated using AI and are provided for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. The content may be incomplete or contain errors and should not be relied upon for investment decisions. Always consult a qualified financial adviser before making financial choices.
Source: Quantmatix – Exclusively US Market Data
COB March 4, 2026
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Japan Weekly Insights
TEST REPORT: JapanEuropean EquitiesTEST REPORT: Japan
Market Close: Fri, 19 December 2025
Weekly Insights
Good afternoon. Japanese markets showed resilience in the final session, with the Nikkei advancing amid selective sector rotation into financials and industrials, despite ongoing weekly pressures from global trade concerns and a strengthening yen. This daily uptick aligns with our Medium-Term Reversal signals in insurance and electronics, highlighting potential swing opportunities as momentum indicators point to advancing long sentiment in select names. Looking ahead, these developments underscore a cautious yet opportunistic environment for Quantmatix-driven trades.
Swing Trading Ideas (1–4 Weeks)
- TOKIO MARINE HD (8766:XTKS) | MT-Qscore -5.0 | Medium-Term Reversal positive signals At today’s Market Close respectively. | Target1: 6231.98 | 4.67% | Hit Rate: 74%
- YOKOGAWA ELEC (6841:XTKS) | MT-Qscore 7.3 | Medium-Term Reversal negative signals At today’s Market Close respectively. | Target1: 4650.44 | -6.22% | Hit Rate: 55%
Market Movements
The Nikkei 225 rose 1.0% over the last trading day but fell 2.6% across the last week of trading, reflecting mixed sentiment amid yen fluctuations. The Topix gained 0.8% daily, with a milder 1.2% weekly decline, as defensive sectors provided support.
Top Gainers (1-Day)
SOFTBANK GROUP C (9984:XTKS) +6.1% SHIFT Inc. (3697:XTKS) +5.6% IBIDEN CO LTD (4062 JT) +4.4% Top Losers (1-Day)
NINTENDO CO LTD (7974:XTKS) -3.1% KAWASAKI KISEN (9107:XTKS) -2.0% KONAMI GROUP COR (9766:XTKS) -2.0% Top Gainers (WTD)
SHIFT Inc. (3697:XTKS) +9.6% AEON CO LTD (8267:XTKS) +9.6% DENA CO LTD (2432:XTKS) +6.7% Top Losers (WTD)
JAPAN STEEL WORK (5631:XTKS) -15.2% YASKAWA ELECTRIC (6506:XTKS) -13.1% PANASONIC HOLDIN (6752:XTKS) -10.7% Top Sector Gainers (1-Day)*
Financials +0.95% Industrials +0.80% Consumer Discretionary +0.77% * equal-weighted
Top Sector Losers (1-Day)
Consumer Staples -0.10% Financials led long sentiment, while industrials and materials showed strength amid weekly volatility in technology and consumer discretionary.
Quantmatix Success Stories
- YASKAWA ELECTRIC (6506:XTKS) | 10.5% profit following a Short-Term Reversal on Mon, 15 December 2025.
- NINTENDO CO LTD (7974:XTKS) | 9.2% profit following a Medium-Term Reversal on Fri, 12 December 2025.
- NIKON CORP (7731:XTKS) | 6.6% profit following a Short-Term Reversal on Mon, 15 December 2025.
- IHI CORP (7013:XTKS) | 6.2% profit following a Short-Term Reversal on Mon, 15 December 2025.
- LASERTEC CORP (6920 JT) | 5.9% profit following a Short-Term Reversal on Mon, 15 December 2025.
- MINEBEA MITSUMI (6479:XTKS) | 5.6% profit following a Short-Term Reversal on Mon, 15 December 2025.
- SUMITOMO ELEC IN (5802:XTKS) | 5.4% profit following a Medium-Term Reversal on Fri, 12 December 2025.
- ANA HOLDINGS INC (9202:XTKS) | 5.3% profit following a Short-Term Top Quantmatix on Mon, 15 December 2025.
- JAPAN STEEL WORK (5631:XTKS) | 5.2% profit following a Short-Term Reversal on Tue, 16 December 2025.
- SUMITOMO HEAVY (6302:XTKS) | 4.6% profit following a Short-Term Reversal on Fri, 12 December 2025.
As Japanese markets navigate yen dynamics and global cues, investors should monitor upcoming BOJ policy signals and U.S. economic data for impacts on financials and industrials rotation. Medium-Term Reversal setups in names like Tokio Marine and Yokogawa Electric remain key to watch for confirmation. We’ll continue to track how these setups evolve in the week ahead.
Disclaimer: These insights are generated using AI and are provided for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. The content may be incomplete or contain errors and should not be relied upon for investment decisions. Always consult a qualified financial adviser before making financial choices.
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Swing Trading Ideas (1-4 Weeks)
North American Equities

- SPROUTS FARMERS (SFM) ? Target 1 97.31 (18.49%) Hit Rate 73%
- SCHNEIDER NATL-B (SNDR) ? Target 1 23.89 (8.1%) Hit Rate 76%
- WASTE MANAGEMENT (WM) ? Target 1 213.97(4.99%) Hit Rate 79%
- FACTSET RESEARCH (FDS) ? Target 1 291.90 (7.36%) Hit Rate 73%
- ROBERT HALF INC (RHI) ? Target 1 30.28 (9.48%) Hit Rate 62%
- QUANTUMSCAPE CORP (QS) ? Target 1 11.60 (-20.74%) Hit Rate 77%
- SELECT WATER SOLUTIONS (WTTR) ? Target 1 9.83 (-9.13%) Hit Rate 57%
- RELAY THERAPEUTIC (RLAY) ? Target 1 5.33 (-13.7%) Hit Rate 75%
- Ormat Technologies, Inc. (ORA) ? Target 1 9.76 (-6.24%) Hit Rate 60%
- Sono-Tek Corp (SOTK) ? Target 1 4.07 (-7.83%) Hit Rate 58%
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Market Movements
IdeasMajor indices declined over the last trading day, with the Dow Jones down 0.8%, the S&P 500 falling 1.1%, and the Russell 2000 dropping 1.9%; the Cboe Volatility Index rose 8.3%, signaling heightened uncertainty, while week-to-date the S&P 500 is off 1.8%.
Top Gainers (1-Day)
Brighthouse Financial Inc (BHF:XNGS) +26.8% Datadog Inc-A (DDOG:XNGS) +23.1% Coherent Corp (COHR:XNYS) +18.3% Top Losers (1-Day)
Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corp (VAC:XNYS) -26.4% Celsius Holdings Inc (CELH:XNCM) -24.8% CarMax Inc (KMX:XNYS) -24.3% Quantmatix had short term positive signals in Brighthouse and Datadog going into earnings, while we had negative short term signals in Marriott, Celsius and Carmax. Coherent short term signal was negative going into the earnings which beat after a surprise. Signals ahead of earnings give an indication of positioning going into these binary events. Monitoring these signals can create opportunities and help manage risk. We will caveat though that this data is not forecasting the earnings outcome.
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Mag 7
Product Q&A / UpdatesMag 7
The Magnificent 7 exhibited divergence today, with Alphabet Inc-C (GOOG:XNGS) edging up 0.15%, while NVIDIA Corp (NVDA:XNGS) led declines at -3.7% amid Short-Term Reversal negative in Nvidia, Tesla, Apple & Alphabet and declining Qscores across the group. Week-to-date, Alphabet holds a slight +1.3% gain, but the cohort broadly weakened with NVIDIA down 7.1%, reflecting pressure from sector rotation and elevated valuations in technology. Overall, Mag 7 momentum appears to be fading as broader market caution weighs on high-growth leaders.
Quantmatix Success Stories
- QuidelOrtho Corp (QDEL:XNGS) achieved 21.2% gains after a Medium-Term Reversal negative signal on Friday, 31 Oct.
- Humana Inc (HUM:XNYS) posted 12.1% upside from a Short-Term Top Quantmatix negative signal on Thursday, 30 Oct.
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Mag 7 today is on 🔥
IdeasMag 7
- Microsoft Corp (MSFT:XNGS) rose 0.5% | medium-term Qscore advancing steadily this week.
- NVIDIA Corp (NVDA:XNGS) rose 0.3% | registered Short-Term Reversal negative signal this week.
- Meta Platforms-A (META:XNGS) fell 2.9% | short-term Qscore declining amid sector rotation.
- Tesla Inc (TSLA:XNGS) fell 2.1% | registered Short-Term Reversal and Pending Medium-Term Reversal negative signals this week.
- Amazon.com Inc (AMZN:XNGS) fell 2.0% | medium-term Qscore showing mild decline.
- Apple Inc (AAPL:XNGS) held steady | registered Pending Medium-Term Reversal positive signals this week.
- Alphabet Inc-C (GOOG:XNGS) advanced 0.1% | momentum indicators advancing slowly.
Overall Mag 7 momentum is mixed, with technology leaders showing resilience despite broader pullbacks.
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Mag 7
IdeasMag 7
- Microsoft Corp (MSFT:XNGS) rose 0.5% | medium-term Qscore advancing steadily this week.
- NVIDIA Corp (NVDA:XNGS) rose 0.3% | registered Short-Term Reversal negative signal this week.
- Meta Platforms-A (META:XNGS) fell 2.9% | short-term Qscore declining amid sector rotation.
- Tesla Inc (TSLA:XNGS) fell 2.1% | registered Short-Term Reversal and Pending Medium-Term Reversal negative signals this week.
- Amazon.com Inc (AMZN:XNGS) fell 2.0% | medium-term Qscore showing mild decline.
- Apple Inc (AAPL:XNGS) held steady | registered Pending Medium-Term Reversal positive signals this week.
- Alphabet Inc-C (GOOG:XNGS) advanced 0.1% | momentum indicators advancing slowly.
Overall Mag 7 momentum is mixed, with technology leaders showing resilience despite broader pullbacks.
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Custom post
IdeasQuantmatix Daily Market Insights
13 November 2025, 00:49 GMT
Focus: North America
Good morning. North American markets showed mixed performance amid ongoing sector rotation toward financials and healthcare, influenced by recent earnings reports and anticipation of economic data releases. This momentum is reflected in our Quantmatix signals highlighting setups in healthcare names like IQVIA and Bio-Rad Laboratories.
Top Ideas and Insights
- IQVIA Holdings (IQV:XNYS) | MT-Qscore 9.3 (adv) | Short-Term Reversal and Pending Medium-Term Reversal positive signals on Wednesday. | Target1: 233.3 | Hit Rate: 85.7%
- Timken Co (TKR:XNYS) | MT-Qscore 0.4 (adv) | Short-Term Reversal and Pending Medium-Term Reversal positive signals on Wednesday. | Target1: 83.0 | Hit Rate: 70.5%
- Bio-Rad Laboratories-A (BIO:XNYS) | MT-Qscore 8.4 (adv) | Short-Term Reversal and Pending Medium-Term Reversal positive signals on Wednesday. | Target1: 350.6 | Hit Rate: 78.1%
- Iron Mountain (IRM:XNYS) | MT-Qscore 4.7 (dec) | Short-Term Reversal and Pending Medium-Term Reversal negative signals on Wednesday. | Target1: 109.5 | Hit Rate: 35.6%
- Crane NXT Co (CXT:XNYS) | MT-Qscore 3.3 (dec) | Short-Term Reversal and Pending Medium-Term Reversal negative signals on Wednesday. | Target1: 71.0 | Hit Rate: 50.0%
- Elevance Health (ELV:XNYS) | MT-Qscore 2.3 (dec) | Pending Medium-Term Reversal negative signal on Wednesday. | Target1: 370.8 | Hit Rate: 49.0%
Market Movements
U.S. indices traded mixed over the last trading day, with the Dow Jones rising 0.7% and the S&P 500 edging up 0.1%, while the Russell 2000 declined 0.3%. The Cboe Volatility Index increased 1.3%, signaling heightened caution amid earnings season.
Top Gainers (1-Day)
Bill Holdings In (BILL:XNYS) +11.5% Adv Micro Device (AMD:XNGS) +9.0% Cleveland-Cliffs (CLF:XNYS) +8.1% Top Losers (1-Day)
Quantumscape Cor (QS:XNYS) -8.0% Amdocs Ltd (DOX:XNGS) -7.9% Celanese Corp (CE:XNYS) -5.5% Financials and technology led gains, with names like Bill Holdings extending a +13.9% week-to-date advance.
Mag 7
- Microsoft Corp (MSFT:XNGS) rose 0.5% | medium-term Qscore advancing steadily this week.
- NVIDIA Corp (NVDA:XNGS) rose 0.3% | registered Short-Term Reversal negative signal this week.
- Meta Platforms-A (META:XNGS) fell 2.9% | short-term Qscore declining amid sector rotation.
- Tesla Inc (TSLA:XNGS) fell 2.1% | registered Short-Term Reversal and Pending Medium-Term Reversal negative signals this week.
- Amazon.com Inc (AMZN:XNGS) fell 2.0% | medium-term Qscore showing mild decline.
- Apple Inc (AAPL:XNGS) held steady | registered Pending Medium-Term Reversal positive signals this week.
- Alphabet Inc-C (GOOG:XNGS) advanced 0.1% | momentum indicators advancing slowly.
Overall Mag 7 momentum is mixed, with technology leaders showing resilience despite broader pullbacks.
Quantmatix Success Stories
- Ubiquiti Inc (UI:XNYS) delivered 23.0% profit following a Short-Term Top Quantmatix short signal on Thursday.
- Hubspot Inc (HUBS:XNYS) yielded 15.1% gain from a Short-Term Top Quantmatix short signal on Wednesday.
- Inspire Medical (INSP:XNYS) captured 11.2% upside after a Medium-Term Reversal long signal on Friday.
Financials and healthcare signals remain in focus amid upcoming CPI data and sector earnings from names like Elevance Health. Investors should monitor rotation into industrials, with key PMI releases influencing sentiment. We’ll continue to track how these setups evolve in the week ahead.
Disclaimer: These insights are generated using AI and are provided for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. The content may be incomplete or contain errors and should not be relied upon for investment decisions. Always consult a qualified financial adviser before making financial choices.
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John's original
US Market Insights & IdeasNorth American EquitiesUS Daily Market Insights & Ideas
Swing Trading Ideas (1-4 Weeks)
- WINGSTOP INC (WING) Target 1 275.53 (12.65%) Hit Rate 85%
- COLGATE-PALMOLIV (CL)Target 1 80.66 (4.39%) Hit Rate 73%
- Exponent, Inc.(EXPO)Target 1 74.17 (4.15%) Hit Rate 72%
- STATE ST CORP (STT) Target 1 122.68 (4.62%) Hit Rate 72%
- Tarsus Pharmaceuticals, Inc (TARS) Target 1 60.89 (-10.57%) Hit Rate 75%
- ALCOA CORP (AA) Target 1 32.41 (-11.69%) Hit Rate 74%
- ZOOM VIDEO COM-A (ZM) Target 1 77.24 (-6.05%) Hit Rate 71%
- PRIVIA HEALTH GR (PRVA) Target 1 22.63 (-5.65%) Hit Rate 73%
- EVERGY INC (EVRG) Target 1 73.54(-2.68%) Hit Rate 61%
All the data driven signals above are generated on the medium term timeframe. Based on historical backtesting the average time to hit Target 1 is 20 days.
Market Movements
Major indices declined over the last trading day, with the Dow Jones down 0.8%, the S&P 500 falling 1.1%, and the Russell 2000 dropping 1.9%; the Cboe Volatility Index rose 8.3%, signaling heightened uncertainty, while week-to-date the S&P 500 is off 1.8%.
Top Gainers (1-Day)
Brighthouse Financial Inc (BHF:XNGS) +26.8% Datadog Inc-A (DDOG:XNGS) +23.1% Coherent Corp (COHR:XNYS) +18.3% Top Losers (1-Day)
Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corp (VAC:XNYS) -26.4% Celsius Holdings Inc (CELH:XNCM) -24.8% CarMax Inc (KMX:XNYS) -24.3% Quantmatix had short term positive signals in Brighthouse and Datadog going into earnings, while we had negative short term signals in Marriott, Celsius and Carmax. Coherent short term signal was negative going into the earnings which beat after a surprise. Signals ahead of earnings give an indication of positioning going into these binary events. Monitoring these signals can create opportunities and help manage risk. We will caveat though that this data is not forecasting the earnings outcome.
Mag 7
The Magnificent 7 exhibited divergence today, with Alphabet Inc-C (GOOG:XNGS) edging up 0.15%, while NVIDIA Corp (NVDA:XNGS) led declines at -3.7% amid Short-Term Reversal negative in Nvidia, Tesla, Apple & Alphabet and declining Qscores across the group. Week-to-date, Alphabet holds a slight +1.3% gain, but the cohort broadly weakened with NVIDIA down 7.1%, reflecting pressure from sector rotation and elevated valuations in technology. Overall, Mag 7 momentum appears to be fading as broader market caution weighs on high-growth leaders.
Quantmatix Success Stories
- QuidelOrtho Corp (QDEL:XNGS) achieved 21.2% gains after a Medium-Term Reversal negative signal on Friday, 31 Oct.
- Humana Inc (HUM:XNYS) posted 12.1% upside from a Short-Term Top Quantmatix negative signal on Thursday, 30 Oct.
Disclaimer: These insights are generated using AI and are provided for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. The content may be incomplete or contain errors and should not be relied upon for investment decisions. Always consult a qualified financial adviser before making financial choices.
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US Market Insight 7th Nov '25
US Market Insights & IdeasNorth American EquitiesUS Daily Market Insights & Ideas
Swing Trading Ideas (1-4 Weeks)
- WINGSTOP INC (WING) Target 1 275.53 (12.65%) Hit Rate 85%
- COLGATE-PALMOLIV (CL)Target 1 80.66 (4.39%) Hit Rate 73%
- Exponent, Inc.(EXPO)Target 1 74.17 (4.15%) Hit Rate 72%
- STATE ST CORP (STT) Target 1 122.68 (4.62%) Hit Rate 72%
- Tarsus Pharmaceuticals, Inc (TARS) Target 1 60.89 (-10.57%) Hit Rate 75%
- ALCOA CORP (AA) Target 1 32.41 (-11.69%) Hit Rate 74%
- ZOOM VIDEO COM-A (ZM) Target 1 77.24 (-6.05%) Hit Rate 71%
- PRIVIA HEALTH GR (PRVA) Target 1 22.63 (-5.65%) Hit Rate 73%
- EVERGY INC (EVRG) Target 1 73.54(-2.68%) Hit Rate 61%
All the data driven signals above are generated on the medium term timeframe. Based on historical backtesting the average time to hit Target 1 is 20 days.
Market Movements
Major indices declined over the last trading day, with the Dow Jones down 0.8%, the S&P 500 falling 1.1%, and the Russell 2000 dropping 1.9%; the Cboe Volatility Index rose 8.3%, signaling heightened uncertainty, while week-to-date the S&P 500 is off 1.8%.
Top Gainers (1-Day)
Brighthouse Financial Inc (BHF:XNGS) +26.8% Datadog Inc-A (DDOG:XNGS) +23.1% Coherent Corp (COHR:XNYS) +18.3% Top Losers (1-Day)
Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corp (VAC:XNYS) -26.4% Celsius Holdings Inc (CELH:XNCM) -24.8% CarMax Inc (KMX:XNYS) -24.3% Quantmatix had short term positive signals in Brighthouse and Datadog going into earnings, while we had negative short term signals in Marriott, Celsius and Carmax. Coherent short term signal was negative going into the earnings which beat after a surprise. Signals ahead of earnings give an indication of positioning going into these binary events. Monitoring these signals can create opportunities and help manage risk. We will caveat though that this data is not forecasting the earnings outcome.
Mag 7
The Magnificent 7 exhibited divergence today, with Alphabet Inc-C (GOOG:XNGS) edging up 0.15%, while NVIDIA Corp (NVDA:XNGS) led declines at -3.7% amid Short-Term Reversal negative in Nvidia, Tesla, Apple & Alphabet and declining Qscores across the group. Week-to-date, Alphabet holds a slight +1.3% gain, but the cohort broadly weakened with NVIDIA down 7.1%, reflecting pressure from sector rotation and elevated valuations in technology. Overall, Mag 7 momentum appears to be fading as broader market caution weighs on high-growth leaders.
Quantmatix Success Stories
- QuidelOrtho Corp (QDEL:XNGS) achieved 21.2% gains after a Medium-Term Reversal negative signal on Friday, 31 Oct.
- Humana Inc (HUM:XNYS) posted 12.1% upside from a Short-Term Top Quantmatix negative signal on Thursday, 30 Oct.
Disclaimer: These insights are generated using AI and are provided for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. The content may be incomplete or contain errors and should not be relied upon for investment decisions. Always consult a qualified financial adviser before making financial choices.
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aaaa
North American EquitiesQuantmatix Success Stories
Integra LifeSciences (IART:XNGS) captured 26.7% downside after a Short-Term Top Quantmatix negative signal on Tuesday, October 28. Vontier Corp (VNT:XNYS) achieved 10.8% gains from a Short-Term Top Quantmatix negative signal on Wednesday, October 29. -
US & Europe — Themes, Sectors & Highest Expected-Value Signal Reads
Quantmatix — US & Europe: Themes, Sectors & Highest Expected-Value Signal ReadsQA Testing (Don't Delete!)Quantmatix · Sector Research — US & Europe · Institutional Research
US & Europe — Themes, Sectors & Highest Expected-Value Signal Reads
The Read
Model breadth is Positive and broadening. The US universe reads 54% Advancing / 64% Positive on the weekly Q Score — our proprietary measure of Velocity (Direction and Momentum) — with 75 Deep Positive Reversals. Europe reads 60% Advancing / 57% Positive with 106 Deep Positive Reversals. The strongest velocity sits in the cyclical complex — Energy and Materials — alongside a clear precious-metals lead in the cross-asset feed.
US Advancing / Positive
54% / 64%US Deep Positive Reversals
75Europe Advancing / Positive
60% / 57%Europe Deep Positive Reversals
106Key Themes on the Move
Commodity & cyclical complex is where the new signals sit — this week’s fresh Top Quantmatix / TEVO activations cluster almost entirely in Materials (Celanese, Albemarle, Alpha Met, Glencore) and Energy (Liberty Energy, Brookfield Renewable), consistent with Energy as the US Max Overweight sector at 89% Advancing. Precious-metals leadership in the cross-asset feed — SPDR Gold and the gold-miner and metals-&-mining proxies are Advancing off a beaten-up base; the clearest velocity outside single stocks. “Advancing Positive” profile — the qualifying new-signal names carry deeply negative Q Scores (roughly -5 to -8) turning up from a beaten-up base: an early-stage reversal footprint, not a late-stage one. Softer dollar, firmer international — the US Dollar proxy is Declining in momentum while MSCI Europe and EAFE Advance; US small-caps (Russell 2000) are the notable laggard, Declining. Europe: breadth is Positive but the signals are shallow — Energy, Materials and Communication Services all read Positive, yet only Glencore and Husqvarna printed fresh large/mid-cap signals with positive Expected Value this week; the highest-EV European name, Headlam, is micro-cap. Sectors on the Move · United States
Sector Adv / Pos % Model State Signal Cluster Energy 89/42 Max Overweight ▲10 ▼3 Materials 68/48 Overweight ▲6 ▼1 Financials 61/85 Neutral Positive ▲8 ▼28 Consumer Staples 60/61 Neutral Negative ▲4 ▼3 Communication Services 58/51 ▲6 ▼4 Information Technology 57/53 ▲7 ▼8 Health Care 49/80 ▲9 ▼14 Industrials 47/55 ▲10 ▼5 Consumer Discretionary 45/56 Underweight ▲9 ▼3 Utilities 33/42 ▲4 Real Estate 22/78 ▲2 ▼5 Slowing (context): Real Estate (22% Advancing) and Utilities (33%) are the US laggards; Financials carries the heaviest High-Score Negative Reversal count (28) — mature, not accelerating.
Sectors on the Move · Europe
Energy 73/54 ▲3 ▼1 66/48 ▲7 ▼2 64/75 ▲7 ▼19 62/60 61/58 ▲13 ▼5 58/56 ▲21 ▼11 56/55 ▲13 ▼1 56/46 ▲15 37/45 ▲2 Slowing (context): Utilities (37% Advancing) is the sole Underweight model state in Europe; Health Care and Consumer Discretionary breadth is decelerating despite positive scores.
Adv / Pos % = share Advancing (accelerating) / share with a Positive score. Model State uses Quantmatix’s standard six-tier scale: Max Overweight, Overweight, Neutral Positive, Neutral Negative, Underweight, Max Underweight. Signal Cluster: ▲ Deep Positive Reversals, ▼ High-Score Negative Reversals.
Highest Expected-Value Signal Reads · United States
Name / New Signal Q / Δ Exp. Value Freq. Room→Ref. Level Risk 1. Celanese Corporation
CE · Mid cap · Materials · Earnings 05 Nov
★ TOP QUANTMATIX ◐ TEVO NEW · w/e 14 Aug-5.9
Δ +0.7
▲ Advancing Positive+3.6% 74% +10.5% -0.4% 2. Albemarle Corporation
to Wk Mean
ALB · Large cap · Materials · Earnings 04 Nov
◐ TEVO NEW · w/e 14 Aug -7.3
Δ +1.7
▲ Advancing Positive+0.7% 76% +7.7% +8.3%
to Wk Mean3. McDonald’s Corporation
MCD · Large cap · Consumer Discretionary · Earnings 04 Nov
NEW · w/e 14 Aug -6.1
Δ +0.9
▲ Advancing Positive+1.9% +4.1% +0.2%
to Wk MeanHighest Expected-Value Signal Reads · Europe
1. Halma plc
HLMA · Large cap · Information Technology · Earnings 19 Nov
-8.6
Δ +0.6
▲ Advancing Positive+6.0% 87% +7.8% -0.2% 2. Bayerische Motoren Werke AG
to Wk Mean
BMW · Large cap · Consumer Discretionary · Earnings 04 Nov
-7.9
Δ +0.7
▲ Advancing Positive+2.0% 71% +5.8% +0.7% 3. Glencore plc
to Wk Mean
GLEN · Large cap · Materials · Earnings 24 Feb
★ TOP QUANTMATIX NEW · w/e 14 Aug -7.6
Δ +0.4
▲ Advancing Positive72% +5.6% +3.9%
to Wk MeanGiant / Large / Mid-cap names Advancing on a current signal this week, screened for positive Expected Value and a reversal-completion frequency (Freq.) above 70%, ranked by room to the Ref. Level, then Expected Value, then Freq. Expected Value = upside Freq. × upside-to-Ref. Level − downside Freq. × downside-to-Downside Ref. Distance to the Weekly Mean is the model’s momentum risk line.
Model Read
The freshest Positive velocity is in the commodity / cyclical complex — CE, ALB, MCD in the US and HLMA, BMW, GLEN in Europe — each Advancing on a current signal with positive Expected Value and room to the Ref. Level. For every name the Weekly Mean is the model’s momentum risk line. The Q Signal is an early warning — a ceiling, not an instruction — and every figure here is a proprietary model output, not a recommendation.
The full US & Europe sector and signal extract is available to subscribers now. Scored nightly across our full universe of 10,000 markets, with model reference levels, reversal-completion frequencies and Expected Value for every qualifying name. Subscribe at quantmatix.com, or get in touch directly: Liam.Boggan@quantmatix.com · Enterprise & institutional: Colm.Gaughran@quantmatix.com.
Important Notice: Produced and published by Quantmatix (producer: Liam Boggan, Head of Research) for general information only, and shared identically with all recipients of this channel. Sources: Quantmatix proprietary model data for the week ending 14 August 2026. Quantmatix is not authorised to provide investment advice under MiFID II and nothing herein is a personal recommendation, investment advice, or an offer or solicitation to buy, sell or hold any instrument; it is not tailored to any recipient’s circumstances. The Q Score, Velocity, Top Quantmatix, TEVO, reversals, reversal-completion frequency (Freq.) and Expected Value are proprietary quantitative model outputs describing model state — “Advancing/Declining” and “Positive/Negative” refer to the direction and momentum of the model score, not the merits of an investment. A Q Signal is an early warning of a potential change in momentum — a ceiling, not a signal to buy or sell. Past performance and modelled probabilities are not a reliable indicator of future results; the Ref. Level is a model reference level, not a price target or prediction. Capital is at risk. Seek advice from an appropriately authorised independent financial adviser. Methodology available on request.
2026 Quantmatix Limited. All rights reserved.
Quantmatix · Sector Research — US & Europe · 15 August 2026
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North American EquitiesUS Market Insights & Ideas
Major indices posted modest gains over the last trading day, with the Russell 2000 up 1.5% leading the advance, while the S&P 500 rose 0.4% and the Dow added 0.5%; week-to-date, however, broader markets slipped, with the S&P 500 down 0.6% and the VIX up 3.3% signaling lingering caution.
The primary driver was the ADP private payrolls report, showing a stronger-than-expected 42,000 job gain, signaling labor market resilience amid Fed rate cut expectations. Positive corporate earnings, including solid results from AMD and McDonald's, further boosted sentiment, offsetting prior tariff concerns eased by Supreme Court skepticism.
Broader recovery in small-caps (Russell 2000 +1.54%) and dip-buying reflected optimism for upcoming nonfarm payrolls data, hinting at sustained volatility but bullish undertones.
Swing Trading Ideas (1-4 Weeks)
- WINGSTOP INC (WING) Target 1 282.16 (11.6%) Hit Rate 85%
- IRIDIUM COMMUNIC (IRDM)Target 1 20.32 (13.08%) Hit Rate 77%
- OLD DOMINION FRT (ODFL)Target 1 150.67 (7.02%) Hit Rate 73%
- Rubrik, Inc. (RBRK) Target 1 83.84 (15.39%) Hit Rate 67%
- Tarsus Pharmaceuticals, Inc (TARS) Target 1 60.91 (-10.57%) Hit Rate 75%
- ALCOA CORP (AA) Target 1 31.88 (-10.81%) Hit Rate 74%
- CENTURY ALUMINUM (CENX) Target 1 25.40 (-11.54%) Hit Rate 53%
- ARCUS BIOSCIENCE (RCUS) Target 1 15.91 (-19.44%) Hit Rate 48%
Biggest Movers
Top Gainers (1-Day)
Lumentum Holdings (LITE:XNGS) +23.6% Rivian Automotive-A (RIVN:XNGS) +23.4% Fortrea Holdings (FTRE:XNGS) +23.2% Top Losers (1-Day)
Pinterest Inc-A (PINS:XNYS) -21.8% Zimmer Biomet Holdings (ZBH:XNYS) -15.2% Live Nation Entertainment (LYV:XNYS) -10.6% Technology and consumer discretionary led gains, with healthcare names extending week-to-date momentum amid broader small-cap rotation.
Mag 7
Tesla led Magnificent 7 gains with a 4.0% rise over the last trading day, driven by EV sector momentum, while Amazon and Alphabet added 0.4% and 2.4%, respectively. On the downside, Nvidia and Microsoft slipped 1.8% and 1.4%. Week-to-date, Amazon topped with +2.5%, but Nvidia extended losses to -3.6% amid valuation concerns. Mag 7 momentum is fading amid broader sector shifts.
Quantmatix Success Stories
- Integra LifeSciences (IART:XNGS) captured 26.7% downside after a Short-Term Top Quantmatix negative signal on Tuesday, October 28.
- Vontier Corp (VNT:XNYS) achieved 10.8% gains from a Short-Term Top Quantmatix negative signal on Wednesday, October 29.
As industrials and healthcare signals build, watch for rotation into small-caps ahead of next week's CPI data and Fed commentary, which could influence sentiment. We'll continue to track how these setups evolve in the week ahead.
Disclaimer: These insights are generated using AI and are provided for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. The content may be incomplete or contain errors and should not be relied upon for investment decisions. Always consult a qualified financial adviser before making financial choices.


