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Quantmatix · Sector Research — US & Europe · Institutional Research
US & Europe — Themes, Sectors & Highest Expected-Value Signal Reads
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The Read
Model breadth is Positive and broadening. The US universe reads 54% Advancing / 64% Positive on the weekly Q Score — our proprietary measure of Velocity (Direction and Momentum) — with 75 Deep Positive Reversals. Europe reads 60% Advancing / 57% Positive with 106 Deep Positive Reversals. The strongest velocity sits in the cyclical complex — Energy and Materials — alongside a clear precious-metals lead in the cross-asset feed.
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US Advancing / Positive
54% / 64% |
US Deep Positive Reversals
75 |
Europe Advancing / Positive
60% / 57% |
Europe Deep Positive Reversals
106 |
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Key Themes on the Move
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| Commodity & cyclical complex is where the new signals sit — this week’s fresh Top Quantmatix / TEVO activations cluster almost entirely in Materials (Celanese, Albemarle, Alpha Met, Glencore) and Energy (Liberty Energy, Brookfield Renewable), consistent with Energy as the US Max Overweight sector at 89% Advancing. |
| Precious-metals leadership in the cross-asset feed — SPDR Gold and the gold-miner and metals-&-mining proxies are Advancing off a beaten-up base; the clearest velocity outside single stocks. |
| “Advancing Positive” profile — the qualifying new-signal names carry deeply negative Q Scores (roughly -5 to -8) turning up from a beaten-up base: an early-stage reversal footprint, not a late-stage one. |
| Softer dollar, firmer international — the US Dollar proxy is Declining in momentum while MSCI Europe and EAFE Advance; US small-caps (Russell 2000) are the notable laggard, Declining. |
| Europe: breadth is Positive but the signals are shallow — Energy, Materials and Communication Services all read Positive, yet only Glencore and Husqvarna printed fresh large/mid-cap signals with positive Expected Value this week; the highest-EV European name, Headlam, is micro-cap. |
Sectors on the Move · United States
| Sector |
Adv / Pos % |
Model State |
Signal Cluster |
| Energy |
89/42 |
Max Overweight |
▲10 ▼3 |
| Materials |
68/48 |
Overweight |
▲6 ▼1 |
Financials |
61/85 |
Neutral Positive |
▲8 ▼28 |
| Consumer Staples |
60/61 |
Neutral Negative |
▲4 ▼3 |
| Communication Services |
58/51 |
▲6 ▼4 |
Information Technology |
57/53 |
▲7 ▼8 |
Health Care |
49/80 |
▲9 ▼14 |
Industrials |
47/55 |
▲10 ▼5 |
Consumer Discretionary |
45/56 |
Underweight |
▲9 ▼3 |
Utilities |
33/42 |
▲4 |
| Real Estate |
22/78 |
▲2 ▼5 |
Slowing (context): Real Estate (22% Advancing) and Utilities (33%) are the US laggards; Financials carries the heaviest High-Score Negative Reversal count (28) — mature, not accelerating.
Sectors on the Move · Europe
Energy |
73/54 |
▲3 ▼1 |
66/48 |
▲7 ▼2 |
64/75 |
▲7 ▼19 |
62/60 |
61/58 |
▲13 ▼5 |
58/56 |
▲21 ▼11 |
56/55 |
▲13 ▼1 |
56/46 |
▲15 |
37/45 |
▲2 |
Slowing (context): Utilities (37% Advancing) is the sole Underweight model state in Europe; Health Care and Consumer Discretionary breadth is decelerating despite positive scores.
Adv / Pos % = share Advancing (accelerating) / share with a Positive score. Model State uses Quantmatix’s standard six-tier scale: Max Overweight, Overweight, Neutral Positive, Neutral Negative, Underweight, Max Underweight. Signal Cluster: ▲ Deep Positive Reversals, ▼ High-Score Negative Reversals.
Highest Expected-Value Signal Reads · United States
Name / New Signal |
Q / Δ |
Exp. Value |
Freq. |
Room→Ref. Level |
Risk |
1. Celanese Corporation
CE · Mid cap · Materials · Earnings 05 Nov
★ TOP QUANTMATIX ◐ TEVO NEW · w/e 14 Aug
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-5.9
Δ +0.7
▲ Advancing Positive
| +3.6% |
74% |
+10.5% |
-0.4%
to Wk Mean |
2. Albemarle Corporation
ALB · Large cap · Materials · Earnings 04 Nov
◐ TEVO NEW · w/e 14 Aug
-7.3
Δ +1.7
▲ Advancing Positive
+0.7% |
76% |
+7.7% |
+8.3%
to Wk Mean |
3. McDonald’s Corporation
MCD · Large cap · Consumer Discretionary · Earnings 04 Nov
NEW · w/e 14 Aug
-6.1
Δ +0.9
▲ Advancing Positive
+1.9% |
+4.1% |
+0.2%
to Wk Mean |
Highest Expected-Value Signal Reads · Europe
1. Halma plc
HLMA · Large cap · Information Technology · Earnings 19 Nov
-8.6
Δ +0.6
▲ Advancing Positive
+6.0% |
87% |
+7.8% |
-0.2%
to Wk Mean |
2. Bayerische Motoren Werke AG
BMW · Large cap · Consumer Discretionary · Earnings 04 Nov
-7.9
Δ +0.7
▲ Advancing Positive
+2.0% |
71% |
+5.8% |
+0.7%
to Wk Mean |
3. Glencore plc
GLEN · Large cap · Materials · Earnings 24 Feb
★ TOP QUANTMATIX NEW · w/e 14 Aug
-7.6
Δ +0.4
▲ Advancing Positive
72% |
+5.6% |
+3.9%
to Wk Mean |
Giant / Large / Mid-cap names Advancing on a current signal this week, screened for positive Expected Value and a reversal-completion frequency (Freq.) above 70%, ranked by room to the Ref. Level, then Expected Value, then Freq. Expected Value = upside Freq. × upside-to-Ref. Level − downside Freq. × downside-to-Downside Ref. Distance to the Weekly Mean is the model’s momentum risk line.
Model Read
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The freshest Positive velocity is in the commodity / cyclical complex — CE, ALB, MCD in the US and HLMA, BMW, GLEN in Europe — each Advancing on a current signal with positive Expected Value and room to the Ref. Level. For every name the Weekly Mean is the model’s momentum risk line. The Q Signal is an early warning — a ceiling, not an instruction — and every figure here is a proprietary model output, not a recommendation.
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The full US & Europe sector and signal extract is available to subscribers now. Scored nightly across our full universe of 10,000 markets, with model reference levels, reversal-completion frequencies and Expected Value for every qualifying name. Subscribe at quantmatix.com, or get in touch directly: Liam.Boggan@quantmatix.com · Enterprise & institutional: Colm.Gaughran@quantmatix.com.
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Important Notice: Produced and published by Quantmatix (producer: Liam Boggan, Head of Research) for general information only, and shared identically with all recipients of this channel. Sources: Quantmatix proprietary model data for the week ending 14 August 2026. Quantmatix is not authorised to provide investment advice under MiFID II and nothing herein is a personal recommendation, investment advice, or an offer or solicitation to buy, sell or hold any instrument; it is not tailored to any recipient’s circumstances. The Q Score, Velocity, Top Quantmatix, TEVO, reversals, reversal-completion frequency (Freq.) and Expected Value are proprietary quantitative model outputs describing model state — “Advancing/Declining” and “Positive/Negative” refer to the direction and momentum of the model score, not the merits of an investment. A Q Signal is an early warning of a potential change in momentum — a ceiling, not a signal to buy or sell. Past performance and modelled probabilities are not a reliable indicator of future results; the Ref. Level is a model reference level, not a price target or prediction. Capital is at risk. Seek advice from an appropriately authorised independent financial adviser. Methodology available on request.  2026 Quantmatix Limited. All rights reserved.
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Quantmatix · Sector Research — US & Europe · 15 August 2026
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Kind Regards,
Liam
Liam Boggan | CEO & Founder
liam.boggan@quantmatix.com
+353 872313505
+44 7765111246
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