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Japan Weekly Insights
TEST REPORT: JapanEuropean EquitiesTEST REPORT: Japan
Market Close: Fri, 19 December 2025
Weekly Insights
Good afternoon. Japanese markets showed resilience in the final session, with the Nikkei advancing amid selective sector rotation into financials and industrials, despite ongoing weekly pressures from global trade concerns and a strengthening yen. This daily uptick aligns with our Medium-Term Reversal signals in insurance and electronics, highlighting potential swing opportunities as momentum indicators point to advancing long sentiment in select names. Looking ahead, these developments underscore a cautious yet opportunistic environment for Quantmatix-driven trades.
Swing Trading Ideas (1–4 Weeks)
- TOKIO MARINE HD (8766:XTKS) | MT-Qscore -5.0 | Medium-Term Reversal positive signals At today’s Market Close respectively. | Target1: 6231.98 | 4.67% | Hit Rate: 74%
- YOKOGAWA ELEC (6841:XTKS) | MT-Qscore 7.3 | Medium-Term Reversal negative signals At today’s Market Close respectively. | Target1: 4650.44 | -6.22% | Hit Rate: 55%
Market Movements
The Nikkei 225 rose 1.0% over the last trading day but fell 2.6% across the last week of trading, reflecting mixed sentiment amid yen fluctuations. The Topix gained 0.8% daily, with a milder 1.2% weekly decline, as defensive sectors provided support.
Top Gainers (1-Day)
SOFTBANK GROUP C (9984:XTKS) +6.1% SHIFT Inc. (3697:XTKS) +5.6% IBIDEN CO LTD (4062 JT) +4.4% Top Losers (1-Day)
NINTENDO CO LTD (7974:XTKS) -3.1% KAWASAKI KISEN (9107:XTKS) -2.0% KONAMI GROUP COR (9766:XTKS) -2.0% Top Gainers (WTD)
SHIFT Inc. (3697:XTKS) +9.6% AEON CO LTD (8267:XTKS) +9.6% DENA CO LTD (2432:XTKS) +6.7% Top Losers (WTD)
JAPAN STEEL WORK (5631:XTKS) -15.2% YASKAWA ELECTRIC (6506:XTKS) -13.1% PANASONIC HOLDIN (6752:XTKS) -10.7% Top Sector Gainers (1-Day)*
Financials +0.95% Industrials +0.80% Consumer Discretionary +0.77% * equal-weighted
Top Sector Losers (1-Day)
Consumer Staples -0.10% Financials led long sentiment, while industrials and materials showed strength amid weekly volatility in technology and consumer discretionary.
Quantmatix Success Stories
- YASKAWA ELECTRIC (6506:XTKS) | 10.5% profit following a Short-Term Reversal on Mon, 15 December 2025.
- NINTENDO CO LTD (7974:XTKS) | 9.2% profit following a Medium-Term Reversal on Fri, 12 December 2025.
- NIKON CORP (7731:XTKS) | 6.6% profit following a Short-Term Reversal on Mon, 15 December 2025.
- IHI CORP (7013:XTKS) | 6.2% profit following a Short-Term Reversal on Mon, 15 December 2025.
- LASERTEC CORP (6920 JT) | 5.9% profit following a Short-Term Reversal on Mon, 15 December 2025.
- MINEBEA MITSUMI (6479:XTKS) | 5.6% profit following a Short-Term Reversal on Mon, 15 December 2025.
- SUMITOMO ELEC IN (5802:XTKS) | 5.4% profit following a Medium-Term Reversal on Fri, 12 December 2025.
- ANA HOLDINGS INC (9202:XTKS) | 5.3% profit following a Short-Term Top Quantmatix on Mon, 15 December 2025.
- JAPAN STEEL WORK (5631:XTKS) | 5.2% profit following a Short-Term Reversal on Tue, 16 December 2025.
- SUMITOMO HEAVY (6302:XTKS) | 4.6% profit following a Short-Term Reversal on Fri, 12 December 2025.
As Japanese markets navigate yen dynamics and global cues, investors should monitor upcoming BOJ policy signals and U.S. economic data for impacts on financials and industrials rotation. Medium-Term Reversal setups in names like Tokio Marine and Yokogawa Electric remain key to watch for confirmation. We’ll continue to track how these setups evolve in the week ahead.
Disclaimer: These insights are generated using AI and are provided for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. The content may be incomplete or contain errors and should not be relied upon for investment decisions. Always consult a qualified financial adviser before making financial choices.
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Swing Trading Ideas (1-4 Weeks)
North American Equities

- SPROUTS FARMERS (SFM) ? Target 1 97.31 (18.49%) Hit Rate 73%
- SCHNEIDER NATL-B (SNDR) ? Target 1 23.89 (8.1%) Hit Rate 76%
- WASTE MANAGEMENT (WM) ? Target 1 213.97(4.99%) Hit Rate 79%
- FACTSET RESEARCH (FDS) ? Target 1 291.90 (7.36%) Hit Rate 73%
- ROBERT HALF INC (RHI) ? Target 1 30.28 (9.48%) Hit Rate 62%
- QUANTUMSCAPE CORP (QS) ? Target 1 11.60 (-20.74%) Hit Rate 77%
- SELECT WATER SOLUTIONS (WTTR) ? Target 1 9.83 (-9.13%) Hit Rate 57%
- RELAY THERAPEUTIC (RLAY) ? Target 1 5.33 (-13.7%) Hit Rate 75%
- Ormat Technologies, Inc. (ORA) ? Target 1 9.76 (-6.24%) Hit Rate 60%
- Sono-Tek Corp (SOTK) ? Target 1 4.07 (-7.83%) Hit Rate 58%
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Market Movements
IdeasMajor indices declined over the last trading day, with the Dow Jones down 0.8%, the S&P 500 falling 1.1%, and the Russell 2000 dropping 1.9%; the Cboe Volatility Index rose 8.3%, signaling heightened uncertainty, while week-to-date the S&P 500 is off 1.8%.
Top Gainers (1-Day)
Brighthouse Financial Inc (BHF:XNGS) +26.8% Datadog Inc-A (DDOG:XNGS) +23.1% Coherent Corp (COHR:XNYS) +18.3% Top Losers (1-Day)
Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corp (VAC:XNYS) -26.4% Celsius Holdings Inc (CELH:XNCM) -24.8% CarMax Inc (KMX:XNYS) -24.3% Quantmatix had short term positive signals in Brighthouse and Datadog going into earnings, while we had negative short term signals in Marriott, Celsius and Carmax. Coherent short term signal was negative going into the earnings which beat after a surprise. Signals ahead of earnings give an indication of positioning going into these binary events. Monitoring these signals can create opportunities and help manage risk. We will caveat though that this data is not forecasting the earnings outcome.
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Mag 7
Product Q&A / UpdatesMag 7
The Magnificent 7 exhibited divergence today, with Alphabet Inc-C (GOOG:XNGS) edging up 0.15%, while NVIDIA Corp (NVDA:XNGS) led declines at -3.7% amid Short-Term Reversal negative in Nvidia, Tesla, Apple & Alphabet and declining Qscores across the group. Week-to-date, Alphabet holds a slight +1.3% gain, but the cohort broadly weakened with NVIDIA down 7.1%, reflecting pressure from sector rotation and elevated valuations in technology. Overall, Mag 7 momentum appears to be fading as broader market caution weighs on high-growth leaders.
Quantmatix Success Stories
- QuidelOrtho Corp (QDEL:XNGS) achieved 21.2% gains after a Medium-Term Reversal negative signal on Friday, 31 Oct.
- Humana Inc (HUM:XNYS) posted 12.1% upside from a Short-Term Top Quantmatix negative signal on Thursday, 30 Oct.

